Mamelodi Sundowns vs Kaizer Chiefs: Rivalry and Double Chance Betting
In the rivalry between one of the most successful clubs in African football, Mamelodi Sundowns, and the most supported team in the country, Kaizer Chiefs, Sundowns hold the advantage. Of the more than 40 meetings in the current top flight, Sundowns hold a clear advantage, with approximately 18 victories to Chiefs' 14, alongside around a dozen draws.
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How the balance of power shifted
The gap has grown in recent years. As Sundowns established themselves as the dominant force in South African football over the past decade, winning seven consecutive league titles from 2017–18, their record against Amakhosi improved markedly. Sundowns have asserted their dominance across domestic and continental competitions, playing at Loftus Versfeld Stadium, with a capacity of 51,762.
Double chance on a lopsided fixture
Against this backdrop, double chance betting is an attractive option. A wager covering two of the three possible outcomes in a contest allows bettors to back a win or draw.
The only way this wager can be lost is if the unbacked outcome occurs after 90 minutes. Double chance is a preferred market for both cautious and seasoned bettors because of the higher margin for error.
When Chiefs had the upper hand
Historically the rivalry has swung back and forth. In earlier seasons of the professional era, Chiefs managed doubles over Sundowns on four occasions (2000/01, 2003/04, 2008/09 and 2011/12). Since then, Sundowns have maintained the upper hand as the dominant force in South African football.
Double chance lines against the head-to-head
| Line | Covers | Meetings covered | Break-even odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X Chiefs or draw | Chiefs win, draw | about 26 of 44 (59%) | 1.69 |
| X2 Sundowns or draw | Sundowns win, draw | about 30 of 44 (68%) | 1.47 |
| 12 either team | Chiefs win, Sundowns win | about 32 of 44 (73%) | 1.38 |
Example. Built from the approximate top-flight record of 18 Sundowns wins, 14 Chiefs wins and around a dozen draws, taken as 44 meetings. An R100 stake on a line breaks even at the decimal odds shown if the old split holds.
